Release peace: the magazine

Release peace: the magazine

Analysis & Background Stories on International Affairs

The UK Never Joining the Euro Might Not Have Had Much to Do With Economics

Written by: Emily M. Osborne

Maastricht and the UK’s Negotiated Euro Opt-Out

The Treaty of Maastricht not only established European Union (EU) in 1993 as a successor to the European Community (EC) but also laid the foundation for the Euro, the EU’s common currency. Despite the benefits of Eurozone membership, the United Kingdom negotiated an opt-out from the currency. In the years following this decision, Eurozone entry continued to be a topic of debate and contention in the UK. Survey data, official and public commentary, and campaigns such as Save the Pound indicate that national identity and monetary sovereignty played a role in the UK’s decision to opt out of the Euro.

Testing the Economics of Eurozone Membership

The UK continued to entertain the idea of Eurozone entry, even after opting out. In 1997, the Labour Government’s Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown proposed five economic tests that the UK must pass to adopt the Euro. The Treasury ran this test twice, but it failed on four of the five parameters on both occasions. The delayed decision on Eurozone entry appeared to be the result of extensive economic scrutiny. However, Brown’s successor from 1993-1997 and Conservative politician Kenneth Clarke suggested otherwise. Clarke, as quoted in a 2002 CNN article, attributed the delay not primarily to economic rationales but to both “angst” and “neurosis” about Britain’s national identity following World War II. He also stated that there were doubts about the UK’s relationship with Europe beyond the Euro itself.

Britain’s Post-War Identity

Political geographer John Agnew similarly suggested that the UK has been haunted by its loss of Empire and failure to find an alternative role in the world after World War II. Agnew also argued that the UK has failed to realise that control “is rarely or never exercised in a zero-sum fashion but involves degrees of cooperation and collaboration with others.” As a result, the UK has been sceptical of European integration. In his view, discourse surrounding Eurozone entry demonstrates this sentiment.

Party Affiliation and Positions on Eurozone Entry

An ICM survey from 2003 found that those who intended to vote Labour or the Liberal Democrats in the next general election were more likely to favour Eurozone entry than those who intended to vote Conservative. However, party affiliation did not necessarily predict personal opinions on the Euro. Labour Party politicians debated Eurozone entry, with Prime Minister (1997-2007) Tony Blair advocating in favour of the Euro while other party members formed internal opposition groups such as Labour Against the Euro. Eurozone entry was also debated by members of the Conservative Party. Conservative party leader William Hague, for example, positioned himself against Eurozone entry while Clarke was in favour.

‘Save the Pound’ and the Politics of Control

Hague championed the Save the Pound campaign, which gained momentum in the late 1990s and early 2000s. The campaign not only focused on interest rates and taxes but also on the threat of a European superstate. Campaign slogans included “In Europe, not run by Europe.” This reflects an unwillingness to relinquish control, as suggested by Agnew. These examples demonstrate how stances on Eurozone entry transcended traditional party ideology, reflecting both identity- and sovereignty-related anxieties.

Expert vs. Public Opinion

Despite two in three of the UK’s leading economists believing that adopting the Euro was in the UK’s economic interest, the majority of the British public was against it. In May 2003, MORI conducted a survey in which participants were asked if they would vote in favour of joining the single currency. 58% of participants indicated that they would vote against joining the Euro, while only 29% responded that they would vote in favour. Similarly, ICM conducted a survey in the same month, with 62% of respondents indicating to be against joining the Euro and 29% indicating that they were in favour.

Euroscepticism at the Ballot Box

Eurobarometer surveys conducted around the turn of the millennium revealed that two-thirds of British adults felt that adopting the Euro would “imply that Britain will lose control over its economic policy.” Two-thirds of British adults also felt that “Britain will lose too much of its identity.” The UK’s European Parliament (EP) election results reflected this growing Euroscepticism, with the Conservative Party (partly Eurosceptic) receiving the greatest share of votes in 1999 and 2004. UKIP (anti-EU) quadrupled its number of seats from 3 to 12 in 2004. The discrepancy between expert and public opinion, combined with Eurobarometer survey data and EP election results, suggests that the UK’s decision to opt out of the Euro was influenced by the desire to preserve national identity and monetary sovereignty. Euroscepticism and anti-EU sentiment may have also been a contributing factor to the British public’s attitude toward the Euro.

Why the Pound Still Mattered

Hong Sik Cho of the Beijing Foreign Studies University suggested that the British public’s attitude toward monetary integration reflected “the particular status of the national currency in their historical imaginary.” It also reflected the “peripheral nature of British European commitment.” In Cho’s analysis of these attitudes, he concluded that the concept of monetary sovereignty provoked identity-based reactions, such as pride. The pound, which features the British monarch on every coin and bank note, has come to symbolise national sovereignty and the UK’s “glorious and prosperous imperial past.” The pound has also become a symbol of resilience, as it is one of the world’s oldest currencies still in circulation.

What the Euro Debate Reveals About Britain

Although the UK negotiated a Eurozone opt-out at the signing of the Treaty of Maastricht, Eurozone entry continued to be contested in the UK. While the UK’s top economists believed that adopting the Euro was in the UK’s economic interest, a majority of the British public was unconvinced of adopting the single currency. Survey data, official and public commentary, and campaigns such as Save the Pound reveal identity- and sovereignty-related anxieties. These anxieties not only influenced the UK’s decision to opt out of the Euro but may also explain why the UK negotiated more opt-outs than any other EU Member State.

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